While sports handicapping is an ever-evolving concept, there are some basic fundamental approaches to handicapping football, and we will review the different methods used here. One of the more popular methods to handicapping football games is by using football trends.
Difference Between Football Betting Trends and Football Betting System
Many amateur sports bettors who bet on football think that football betting trends and football betting systems are one in the same. While they are very similar, there is one major difference. Football betting trends are specific to a team, while football betting systems are not team specific.
An example of a football betting trend would be “The New Orleans Saints are 9-0 ATS
against non-conference opponents.” ATS stands for “against the spread”, and
refers to a team’s record against the pointspread. Notice this football betting
trend is only relevant to the New Orleans Saints.
An example of a football betting system would be “NFL Teams
are 41-17 ATS in the regular season after four or more Overs against an
opponent off an Under.” Note that this football betting system is not team
specific, and instead is relevant to any NFL team in this situation.
Some football handicappers rely heavily on football betting
trends, while others do not put much emphasis on them. Furthermore, it is
common for bookies
to upgrade their sportsbook for the football season and include trend in
the update. NFL Handicappers that tend to use football betting trends believe
that history for specific teams in specific situations is a good indication of
how that team performs in similar situations.
NFL Handicappers that do not put much stock into football
betting trends believe that there are more factors involved in a particular
outcome or that with roster and coaching changes being made every year, the
past records accumulated by a team that isn’t necessarily the same as the
current year’s team.
Regardless of how NFL handicappers use football betting
trends, they are widely regarded as one of the main handicapping tools used to
handicap NFL Football games.
NFL Betting Trends Strategy
Here are the steps to Create and use NFL Betting Trends to win your NFL wagers.
Identify a Football Trend - Start by examining
historical data from the NFL, which encompasses scores, betting odds, and team
performances. Concentrate on a particular criterion, such as the impact of long
travel distances on NFL teams.
Creating a Betting Strategy - Formulate a wagering
strategy that aligns with the recognized trend. For example, if past data
reveals that teams making coast-to-coast trips frequently outperform the
expectations set by bookmakers (successfully covering the spread), it may be
prudent to place bets on these teams in analogous circumstances.
Testing your Football Betting Trend - Implement the
strategy consistently across several NFL seasons. Monitor the performance of
teams in coast-to-coast matchups against the spread (ATS). According to the best bookie pay per head
provider, you must Evaluate the success rate, profitability, and identify
any necessary adjustments to optimize the strategy.
Monitor Trends and Adapt Accordingly - Consistently
observe the current NFL season. Adjust your strategy in response to developing
trends, shifts in team dynamics, or new factors affecting results. Maintaining
flexibility is essential for gaining an advantage in the ever-changing
environment of NFL betting.
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